Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.000062 0.000064 0.000067 0.000071 0.000074 0.000078 0.000082
2025-02-16 0.000057 0.000062 0.000066 0.000071 0.000077 0.000083 0.000091
2025-02-23 0.000056 0.000061 0.000067 0.000074 0.000082 0.000091 0.000103
2025-03-02 0.000053 0.000058 0.000065 0.000072 0.000082 0.000093 0.000107
2025-03-09 0.000049 0.000055 0.000062 0.000070 0.000080 0.000093 0.000109
2025-03-16 0.000048 0.000054 0.000061 0.000070 0.000081 0.000095 0.000114
2025-03-23 0.000047 0.000053 0.000061 0.000071 0.000084 0.000100 0.000123
2025-03-30 0.000045 0.000052 0.000060 0.000070 0.000084 0.000101 0.000127
2025-04-06 0.000043 0.000050 0.000057 0.000068 0.000082 0.000100 0.000126
2025-04-13 0.000041 0.000047 0.000055 0.000065 0.000079 0.000097 0.000124
2025-04-20 0.000039 0.000045 0.000053 0.000063 0.000076 0.000095 0.000123
2025-04-27 0.000037 0.000043 0.000051 0.000061 0.000075 0.000094 0.000123
2025-05-04 0.000037 0.000043 0.000051 0.000062 0.000077 0.000097 0.000130
2025-05-11 0.000036 0.000043 0.000051 0.000062 0.000079 0.000102 0.000140
2025-05-18 0.000036 0.000043 0.000052 0.000065 0.000083 0.000110 0.000157
2025-05-25 0.000035 0.000042 0.000051 0.000064 0.000082 0.000110 0.000159
2025-06-01 0.000034 0.000040 0.000049 0.000062 0.000080 0.000109 0.000159
2025-06-08 0.000033 0.000040 0.000049 0.000062 0.000081 0.000111 0.000166
2025-06-15 0.000033 0.000040 0.000049 0.000062 0.000083 0.000116 0.000179
2025-06-22 0.000032 0.000039 0.000048 0.000062 0.000083 0.000117 0.000183
2025-06-29 0.000031 0.000037 0.000046 0.000060 0.000081 0.000114 0.000181
2025-07-06 0.000029 0.000036 0.000045 0.000058 0.000078 0.000111 0.000176
2025-07-13 0.000028 0.000035 0.000043 0.000056 0.000075 0.000107 0.000172